I think I mentioned this in the politics thread, but Rand Paul will say two things I really agree with followed by another thing that makes me want to give up on him completely.
Unfortunately this will not improve on the campaign trail, as every candidate will doubtlessly start pandering to the idiots.
I don't see Jeb and Paul folding completely to the crazies on the right, as every other candidate surely will.
If Paul can put a truly consistent message together without bowing to the baggers, he will quickly gain some interest from independents, and moderates on both sides of the aisle.
Jeb needs to distance himself from his brother. He's immensely more intelligent. If he can do it I would imagine he comes out as the nominee.