I mean 240k is the more dire of the likely scenarios. But unless you're knowledgeable about exponential logarithms, progressions, and epidemiological morphology the statistics won't correlate until much later in the process. Since I don't understand and or made up most of those words. I'd equate it to more like a compounding 401k.
Early on you're gonna see paltry numbers, and towards the end it'll be eye popping numbers. While I'm not smart enough to understand what the smart people are talking about. I know enough to believe them when they say it
Well, the estimate was 100K-240K from the White House. This is the same White House that...
- Told us that it would be down to 0 cases and go away on its own
- Told us it paled in comparison to H1N1, which killed 12,500 in a year
- Told us 37,000 Americans died from the flu, and nobody cared, so we shouldn't care about this
- Said 100,000 dead would be a "good job"
The estimates are at 100K-240K if we maintain social distancing. The worst case scenario is 1.5M-2.2M if we don't do anything. Some states still aren't doing that much in terms of social distancing.
Hopefully, we can keep it under 100K. Fauci said that we want to do much better than that. But I don't know if that will be realistic given the leadership in charge.