The numbers for NY are difficult to gauge because of the lack of testing. I think the actual viral peak in NYC is now or may have even passed. People were being turned away from testing or hospitals if they didn’t exhibit all symptoms or were of better health.
Now that testing is becoming more available (relatively speaking) the numbers are skyrocketing. I’d wager the number of people with untested corona virus in NY/NJ is exponentially higher than the confirmed number, especially in early March.
I thought NY basically said freak testing were just going to assume everyone has it, and tell you to go home unless you aren't stable because everything's over capicity.
I think that's a significant part of the freaking problem is people who are sick, but not seriously so, being so terrified that they all want to go to the hospital thinking it's safer than their own homes.
But I'm purely going off what's reported, I haven't seen anything report its happened so far. The latest projection I've seen is from the bill gates foundation/university of Washington suggesting the NY peak will be April 10th. With 15,000 dead in NY by August. With almost 90,000 in the country dead over the next 4 months