Naa, they play Jax week 18. They can beat them with no QB. Possibly over, not definitely.
Yeah but if they lose to Oakland this week, they're fucked as Oakland now holds the tie breaker over them. And excluding division leaders there's 5 teams with 8 wins in the afc.
I assume Indy will still get to 10 wins, but now you suddenly have 5 other teams that can potentially tie you, with at least one having a guaranteed tied breaker
Baltimore also would have the tie breaker over them.
The Colts have tie breakers over the entire AFCE